11-25天元基金几何与随机分析及其应用交叉讲座之91【徐玉红】

发布者:系统管理员发布时间:2017-11-21浏览次数:35

报告人:徐玉红,苏州大学 

报告题目: Kelly Criterion Under Model Uncertainty

时间:11月25号(周六),上午10:00-11:00

地点:管研楼1208

摘要:

Kelly criteria for a wealth process to reach a goal are studied under ambiguous market. Issues of how ambiguity of market parameters affect portfoliomanagement are investigated. I show that ambiguity aversion of a rationalindividual decreases her market participation when return and volatility areuncorrelated, and there is a small exception for synchronous return and volatility. The aggregate premium of being short a discounted reward is computedexplicitly which is decomposed into two parts. An investors pessimism leadsto negative volatility premium. However the risk premium is positive. As a result, in an underestimated pricing economy, investors could still make positive premium via appropriate allocation among assets.